Ch5. Stock Investing — US Market Strategy & Global Diversification
The Case for US Stocks
Why US equities dominate global portfolios:
- World’s largest and most liquid capital market
- Home to global leaders in every major growth sector
- 100+ years of well-documented market data
- Dollar liquidity as global reserve currency
S&P 500 historical performance:
- Long-run annualized return: ~10% (nominal), ~7% (real after inflation)
- No 20-year period in history has produced a negative total return
Core US Market ETFs
| ETF | Index Tracked | Expense Ratio |
|---|---|---|
| VOO | S&P 500 | 0.03% |
| VTI | US Total Market | 0.03% |
| QQQ | NASDAQ-100 | 0.20% |
| VIG | Dividend Growth | 0.06% |
| VYM | High Dividend Yield | 0.06% |
Recommendation for most investors: VOO or VTI provides broad US exposure at minimal cost.
International Diversification
The US represents ~60% of global market capitalization. Adding international exposure:
| ETF | Coverage | Expense Ratio |
|---|---|---|
| VEA | Developed Markets (ex-US) | 0.05% |
| VWO | Emerging Markets | 0.08% |
| VT | Total World (US + International) | 0.07% |
Simple global portfolio:
- 60% VTI (US total market)
- 20% VEA (developed international)
- 10% VWO (emerging markets)
- 10% BND (bonds)
Tax Efficiency for US Investors
Tax-advantaged accounts first:
- Hold REITs and high-dividend stocks in tax-advantaged accounts (IRA, 401k) to defer/avoid taxes
- Hold tax-efficient index funds in taxable accounts
Capital gains timing:
- Long-term capital gains (held >1 year): 0%, 15%, or 20% depending on income
- Short-term (held <1 year): Taxed as ordinary income (up to 37%)
- Strategy: Hold at least 1 year before selling winners
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Next: Dividend Investing — dividend yield, payout ratios, Dividend Aristocrats, and the powerful mathematics of dividend reinvestment.
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