Chart Analysis — Advanced Ichimoku ① — The Three Pillars and Wave Theory
Lesson 1 Overview: Ichimoku Beyond the Cloud
Most traders know Ichimoku as “five lines and a cloud.” But the real substance left behind by its creator, Ichimoku Sanjin (Goichi Hosoda), is three theories — Wave Theory, Time Theory, and Price-Target Theory. This advanced series covers all three pillars.
1. The Three Theories of Ichimoku
| Theory | Core question | What it looks at |
|---|---|---|
| Wave Theory | What “shape” does price move in? | The wave structure of price |
| Time Theory | ”When” does the change arrive? | Change days, base numbers |
| Price-Target Theory | ”How far” does it go? | Target price ranges |
2. Wave Theory — Reading the “Shape” of Price
Price looks chaotic, but it actually moves as a combination of a handful of basic wave forms. Wave Theory reads that “shape.”
Three basic waves:
- I-wave: a single move in one direction (one leg up or down)
- V-wave: a pullback pair — up then down (∧), or down then up (∨)
- N-wave: a V-wave plus one more leg — the market’s foundational completed form
3. The N-Wave — The Basic Unit of Every Move
In Ichimoku, the basic unit of price action is the N-wave. An upward N-wave has a three-leg structure: rise → correction → renewed rise.
- C (high)
- /
- A /
- //
- / B (correction low) (start)
A (leg 1, rise) → B (leg 2, correction) → C (leg 3, renewed rise) = N-wave
- Every larger wave is understood as a chain of smaller N-waves.
- Moving from I → V → N, the market’s “degree of completion” increases.
4. How to Count Waves, and What It Means
- Gauge how far a move has progressed by counting how many N-waves it contains
- As wave 1 → wave 2 → wave 3… accumulate, the trend matures
- When a wave’s “shape” breaks (e.g., it stalls at V instead of completing to N), that signals trend weakness
Wave Theory rarely trades well on its own — it gains real power when combined with Time Theory (when) and Price-Target Theory (how far).
5. Roadmap for This Series
| Lesson | Topic |
|---|---|
| 1 | Overview of the three theories + Wave Theory (this lesson) |
| 2 | Time Theory — base numbers, corresponding numbers, change days |
| 3 | Price-Target Theory — V/N/E/NT target calculations |
| 4 | Advanced line reading + precise interpretation of bullish/bearish crosses |
| 5 | Three-role reversal in full practice, combined with other indicators |
This Lesson’s Key Takeaways
- Ichimoku’s essence isn’t the five lines and cloud — it’s the three theories: wave, time, and price.
- Ichimoku Sanjin treated time as the true center of the market, more fundamental than price.
- The basic waves are I (single leg), V (pullback), and N (three legs, the foundational completed form).
- Convergence signals a P-wave; divergence signals a Y-wave — both foreshadow the next move.
- Wave Theory gains its power when combined with Time Theory and Price-Target Theory.
Next lesson: We cover Time Theory, the heart of Ichimoku — the base numbers 9, 17, and 26, corresponding numbers, and how to calculate “change days” to estimate when the market is likely to turn.
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(Verified: June 2026)
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