Ch7. Ichimoku Cloud ① — Dissecting the Five Lines and the Cloud
Overview: Reading the Market Through Time and Balance
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (一目均衡表) was created by Goichi Hosoda (pen name Ichimoku Sanjin) in 1930s Japan. The name literally means “a one-glance (一目) view of the market’s balance.” Where other indicators focus on price, Ichimoku adds the axis of time to show trend in three dimensions.
Goal of this lesson: Accurately understand the calculation and meaning of Ichimoku’s five lines and the Cloud (spans). Practical trading comes in Lesson 8.
1. The Philosophy of Ichimoku
Ichimoku is a vast system of three theories (wave, time, and price-level), but what appears on the chart is essentially five lines and the cloud. Two premises underlie it.
- The market seeks balance — price may lean one way temporarily, but returns to balance (the center).
- Time creates change — not just price, but the variable of “how many days ahead” creates turning points.
The default settings 9, 26, 52 come from Hosoda’s analysis of historical Japanese markets (when a month ≈ 26 trading days under a six-day week). They remain the standard today, though some optimize them per market or instrument.
2. The Five Lines
| Line | Calculation | Character |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (Conversion) | (9-period high + low) ÷ 2 | Short-term, 9-day center |
| Kijun-sen (Base) | (26-period high + low) ÷ 2 | Mid-term, 26-day center |
| Senkou Span A | (Tenkan + Kijun) ÷ 2, plotted 26 ahead | Cloud edge |
| Senkou Span B | (52-period high + low) ÷ 2, plotted 26 ahead | Cloud edge |
| Chikou Span (Lagging) | Today’s close plotted 26 back | Current vs. past position |
Tenkan and Kijun
They look like moving averages but differ. An MA is the “average of closes”; Tenkan and Kijun are the midpoint of the period’s high and low — the “balance price” of that span.
- Tenkan above Kijun → short-term bullish bias
- Price above a rising Kijun → mid-term trend is healthy
The Kijun is the spine of the trend. A flat Kijun means no trend (ranging); a rising Kijun acts as the centerline of an uptrend. It often serves as strong support when price corrects.
3. The Cloud (Kumo) — The Heart of Ichimoku
The space between Senkou Span A and B, filled with color, is the Cloud (Kumo). Because both lines are plotted 26 periods into the future, the cloud is drawn ahead of price at the right edge of the chart.
░░░░░░░ ← Cloud (spans plotted 26 ahead)
price /░░░░░░
/
─────────────────→ time
What the Cloud Tells You
| State | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Price above the cloud | Uptrend — cloud is support |
| Price below the cloud | Downtrend — cloud is resistance |
| Price inside the cloud | Unclear trend — stand aside |
| Thick cloud | Strong support/resistance (hard to break) |
| Thin cloud | Weak support/resistance (easy to break) |
Bullish and Bearish Clouds
- Bullish cloud (Span A > Span B): bias upward
- Bearish cloud (Span A < Span B): bias downward
- Where the two spans cross is the cloud twist, a clue to a trend change.
Ichimoku’s greatest weapon is that the cloud shows 26 periods of the future in advance — you can see upcoming support/resistance ahead of time. But when price enters the cloud, direction is lost, so avoid trading inside the cloud.
4. Chikou Span — The Simplest Yet Powerful Line
The Chikou Span simply plots today’s close 26 periods back. The simplest to compute, yet Hosoda valued it highly.
- Chikou above the price of 26 periods ago → bullish confirmation
- Chikou below the price of 26 periods ago → bearish confirmation
It compares current strength directly with the past — a final check of whether a trend is real.
5. The Five Lines Across Time, at a Glance
| Line | Time position |
|---|---|
| Chikou Span | 26 periods past |
| Tenkan, Kijun | Present |
| Senkou Span A/B (Cloud) | 26 periods future |
Past, present, and future on one screen — this is Ichimoku’s identity, and the source of its name “one glance at balance.”
Key Takeaways
- Ichimoku adds the axis of “time” to price (settings 9·26·52).
- Tenkan (9) and Kijun (26) are midpoints of period highs/lows (balance prices); the Kijun is the trend’s center.
- The Cloud, formed by Spans A and B, is plotted 26 ahead and shows upcoming support/resistance.
- Price above the cloud = up, below = down, inside = stand aside; a thicker cloud is stronger.
- The Chikou Span plots the close 26 back to confirm current strength against the past.
Next lesson: We combine the five lines and cloud into real trades — Tenkan/Kijun crosses, cloud breakouts, and Ichimoku’s strongest signal, the three-role reversal (Sanyaku Kouten).
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